Posted: June 12, 2008

LEGISLATIVE WATCH LIST

As the General Assembly hurtles toward the end of its session on June 30, the legislators know they will be saying good-bye to some of their colleagues because of retirement, but they also are wondering who else will not be back.

Up and down the state, the legislative elections are taking shape. The Republicans have more to be nervous about than the Democrats.

In the Senate, where the Democrats have a 13-8 majority, the best the Republicans can hope for is holding on to what they have, particularly because two Republican senators are retiring from districts where the Democrats have a registration advantage.

In the House of Representatives, a shift of two seats would cost the Republicans their 22-19 majority. Control of the chamber is in desperate dispute, an objective probably secondary only to electing a governor.

Here are the key races.

Office Democrat Republican Registration Rundown
4th Senate   Rich Abbott

John Clatworthy

Michael Fleming

Voters: 30,989

Dem: 34%

Rep: 42%

Other: 24%

With Minority Leader Charlie Copeland running for lieutenant governor, the Chateau Country seat is open but so Republican, the Democrats are ignoring it. The Republicans have no clear favorite in a three-way primary
6th Senate John Mackenzie

Mike Terranova

Liane Sorenson

Voters: 21,379

Dem: 38%

Rep: 35%

Other: 27% 

Democratic infighting is a gift that keeps on giving to Sorenson, the minority whip with 14 years in the Newark-Hockessin district
10th Senate Bethany Hall-Long  

Voters: 31,380

Dem: 44%

Rep: 32%

Other: 24% 

Hall-Long's interest in moving from the House to this Newark-Middletown seat nudged Republican Steve Amick into retirement. Republicans plan on a serious candidate, too
16th Senate Harold Stafford Colin Bonini

Voters: 28,491

Dem: 38%

Rep: 37%

Other: 25% 

Bonini is defending a Dover-Harrington district from Stafford, an ex-secretary of labor, as the registration creeps more Democratic
17th Senate Brian Bushweller Jim Hutchison

Voters: 27,891

Dem: 45%

Rep: 30%

Other: 25% 

With Republican John Still retiring, the Dover-Camden-Wyoming district is the scene of a premier showdown between Bushweller, a onetime public safety secretary, and "Hutch," an ex-mayor of Dover
         
4th House Gerald Brady Tyler Nixon

Voters: 15,779

Dem: 46%

Rep: 30%

Other: 24% 

Republicans are following conventional politics by going after Brady in his rookie term, but the Wilmington district is too Democratic and Brady too well-known from his time on the City Council to be threatened
7th House Bryon Short Jim Bowers

Voters: 14,819

Dem: 38%

Rep: 39%

Other: 23% 

Republicans were stunned to lose this Brandywine Hundred seat in a 2007 special election between the same candidates. The rematch will be a slugfest
8th House Quinn Johnson  

Voters: 18,095

Dem: 46%

Rep: 30%

Other: 24% 

The Middletown-Townsend district being vacated by Hall-Long was drawn to favor the Democrats, and they are positioned to keep it
9th House Rebecca Walker Dick Cathcart

Voters: 17,914

Dem: 42%

Rep: 34%

Other: 24% 

A rematch of a 2006 race that Cathcart won by fewer than 600 votes, it keeps the Republican majority leader pinned at home in lower New Castle County
10th House Dennis Williams Bob Valihura

Voters: 15,877

Dem: 41%

Rep: 36%

Other: 23% 

With the once-Republican registration shrinking in this Brandywine Hundred district, Valihura draws a challenger who ran for the Congress and should not be confused with the Wilmington representative of the same name
18th House Mike Barbieri Terry Spence

Voters: 12,356

Dem: 51%

Rep: 25%

Other: 24% 

For a House speaker, Spence sits uneasily in a Christiana-Stanton district that gave him only a 600-vote victory over Barbieri in 2006 and has a 2-1 Democratic registration
27th House Earl Jaques Vince Lofink

Voters: 13,769

Dem: 45%

Rep: 31%

Other: 24% 

Lofink eked out a win to keep his Bear-Glasgow seat from Jaques in 2006. Since then, Lofink's son was involved in a scheme to bilk the state, and whether the voters hold it against the father is the $1.2 million question
29th House Trey Paradee Pam Thornburg

Voters: 15,564

Dem: 40%

Rep: 35%

Other: 25% 

The Kent County Democrats are so energized, they even are going after someone they let run unopposed in 2006
31st House Darryl Scott Nancy Wagner

Voters: 12,281

Dem: 46%

Rep: 30%

Other: 24% 

Democrats were surprised in 2006 when a weak candidate came within 500 votes of Wagner in the Dover district, so this time they mean business, ready to jump on the Wagners' wife-and-husband jobs on the public payroll
32nd House Brad Bennett Donna Stone

Voters: 11,194

Dem: 44%

Rep: 30%

Other: 26%

 

Stone is president of the National Conference of State Legislatures, but locally the Democrats see her as a Republican in a Dover district they should have. Bennett is a top-tier challenger for a seat his father once held
33rd House Bob Walls Jack Peterman

Voters: 14,774

Dem: 38%

Rep: 37%

Other: 25% 

Peterman, a former Levy Court member, was the loser in a 2006 primary that helped to cost the Republicans the Milford-Magnolia seat. Party unity may be coming too late to beat Walls with a term to his credit
37th House Helen Truitt Joe Booth

Voters: 13,155

Dem: 38%

Rep: 38%

Other: 22% 

Booth was unopposed in 2006 in the Georgetown-Lewes district, but the registration has slipped Democratic by 19 voters, so why not take him on?
41st House John Atkins Greg Hastings

Voters: 14,790

Dem: 42%

Rep: 38%

Other: 20% 

Atkins, who resigned in 2007 over rowdy conduct, is asking voters in the Millsboro area district to see him as a new man in a new party and give him another chance in office

Incumbents are in bold. Voter registration figures are from June 1.

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